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		<title>Pareto opportunities for Friends?</title>
		<link>https://www.quakerranter.org/pareto-opportunities-for-friends/</link>
					<comments>https://www.quakerranter.org/pareto-opportunities-for-friends/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Kelley]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Jun 2015 23:27:09 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Quaker]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Marco Rubio]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.quakerranter.org/?p=38120</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Nate Silver recently ran a piece on Marco Rubio’s presidential chances has used the previously-unknown-to-me concept of the “Pareto frontier” to line up potential candidates: In economics, there’s a concept known as Pareto efficiency. It means that you ought to be able to eliminate any choice if another one dominates it along every dimension. The [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nate Silver recently ran a piece <a href="http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/marco-rubio-and-the-pareto-frontier/">on Marco Rubio’s presidential chances</a> has used the previously-unknown-to-me concept of the “<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pareto_efficiency#Pareto_frontier">Pareto frontier</a>” to line up potential candidates:</p>
<blockquote><p>In economics, there’s a concept known as Pareto efficiency. It means that you ought to be able to eliminate any choice if another one dominates it along every dimension. The remaining choices sit along what’s called the Pareto frontier.</p></blockquote>
<p>Silver then followed up with a real world example that speaks to my interest in food:</p>
<blockquote><p>Imagine that in addition to White Castle and The French Laundry, there are two Italian restaurants in your neighborhood. One is the chain restaurant Olive Garden. You actually like Olive Garden perfectly well. But down the block is a local red-sauce joint called Giovanni’s. The food is a little better there than at Olive Garden (although not as good as at The French Laundry), and it’s a little cheaper than Olive Garden (although not as cheap as White Castle). So you can eliminate Olive Garden from your repertoire; it’s dominated along both dimensions by Giovanni’s.</p></blockquote>
<p>These days we choose more than our dinner destinations. Spirituality has become a marketplace. While there have always been converts, it feels as if the pace of religious lane-changing has steadily quickened in recent times. Many people are choosing their religious affiliation rather than sticking with the faith traditions of their parents. For Quakers, this has been a net positive, as many of our meetinghouses are full of “convinced” Friends who came in to our religious society as adults.</p>
<p>Quakers are somewhat unique in our market potential. I would argue that we fall on two spots of the religious “pareto curve”:</p>
<ul>
<li>The first is a kind of mass-market entry point for the “spiritual but not religious” set that wants to dip its toe into an organized religion that’s neither very organized nor religious. Liberal Friends don’t have ministers or creeds, we don’t feel or sound too churchy, and we’re not particularly concerned about what new seekers believe. It’s a perfect fit for do-it-yourself seekers that are looking for non-judgmental spiritually-minded progressives.</li>
<li>Our second pareto frontier beachhead is more grad-school level: we’re a good spot for people who have a strong religious convictions but seek a community with less restrictions. They’ve memorized whole sections of the Bible and might have theological training. They’re burned out by judgmentalism&nbsp;and spirit-less routine and are seeking out a more authentic religious community of religious peers open to discussion and growth.</li>
</ul>
<p>It seems we often reach out to one or the other type of “pareto” seeker. I see that as part of the <a href="http://www.micahbales.com/quakers-capable-planting-churches/#disqus_thread">discussion around Micah Bales’s recent piece on Quaker church planting</a>–do we focus on new, unaffiliated seekers or serious religious disciples looking for a different type of community. I’d be curious to hear if any Quaker outreach programs have tried to reach out to both simultaneously. Is it even possible to sucessfully market that kind of dual message?</p>
<p>The two-touch pareto nature of Friends and pop spiritual culture suggests that meetings could focus their internal work on being the bridge from what we might call the “pareto entrances.” Newcomers who have walked through the door because we’re not outwardly churchy could be welcomed into Quakerism 101 courses to be introduced to Quaker techniques for spiritual grounding and growth–and so they can determine whether formal membership is a good fit. Those who have come for the deep spiritual grounding can join as well, but also be given the opportunities for smaller-scale religious conversations and practice, through Bible study groups, regional extended worships and trips to regional opportunities.</p>
<figure id="attachment_38123" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-38123" style="width: 656px" class="wp-caption alignnone"><a href="https://i0.wp.com/www.quakerranter.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/upload_wikimedia_org_wikipedia_commons_b_b7_Front_pareto_svg_and_blog_pareto.jpg?ssl=1"><img data-recalc-dims="1" fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" class="wp-image-38123 size-full" src="https://i0.wp.com/www.quakerranter.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/upload_wikimedia_org_wikipedia_commons_b_b7_Front_pareto_svg_and_blog_pareto.jpg?resize=640%2C335&#038;ssl=1" alt="If you add charts you don't understand to blog posts, people will think you're extra smart." width="640" height="335" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/www.quakerranter.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/upload_wikimedia_org_wikipedia_commons_b_b7_Front_pareto_svg_and_blog_pareto.jpg?w=656&amp;ssl=1 656w, https://i0.wp.com/www.quakerranter.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/upload_wikimedia_org_wikipedia_commons_b_b7_Front_pareto_svg_and_blog_pareto.jpg?resize=300%2C157&amp;ssl=1 300w" sizes="(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px"></a><figcaption id="caption-attachment-38123" class="wp-caption-text">If you add charts to blog posts, people will think you’re super-duper&nbsp;smart.</figcaption></figure>
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">38120</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>Overnight camping at Fort Delaware on the Delaware River’s Pea Patch Island.&#160;</title>
		<link>https://www.quakerranter.org/overnight-camping-at-fort-delaware-on-the-delaware-rivers-pea-patch-island/</link>
					<comments>https://www.quakerranter.org/overnight-camping-at-fort-delaware-on-the-delaware-rivers-pea-patch-island/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Kelley]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 28 Sep 2014 12:56:21 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[South Jersey]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.quakerranter.org/?p=38377</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Earlier this month we took a family trip to the “Three Forts” along the lower Delaware—Fort DuPont on the Delaware side, Fort Mott in New Jersey, and Fort Delaware right in the middle (okay, it’s officially Delaware, meaning our hosts were the excellent staff of the Delaware Park Service). This weekend I went back with [&#8230;]]]></description>
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<p>Earlier this month we took a <a href="https://www.quakerranter.org/2014/09/three-fort-touring/">family trip to the “Three Forts” </a>along the lower Delaware—Fort DuPont on the Delaware side, Fort Mott in New Jersey, and <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fort_Delaware">Fort Delaware</a> right in the middle (okay, it’s <a href="https://www.quakerranter.org/2014/09/so-why-is-pea-patch-island-supposedly-owned-by-delaware/">officially Delaware</a>, meaning our hosts were the <a href="http://www.destateparks.com/park/fort-delaware/">excellent staff of the Delaware Park Service</a>). This weekend I went back with the two older boys on an overnight campout.</p>
<p>The island is only accessible by ferry. Most nights, the entire staff disembark back to Delaware on the last ferry (we joined them last time) but for the first time in anyone’s memory, they had this campout. If our family didn’t scare them they might make it a more regular event.</p>
<p>We camped out in the old marching ground right inside the fort and got to walk around all of the safe parts of the fort. In addition, the staff had lots of great programs:</p>
<ul>
<li>Scavenger hunt</li>
<li>Paranormal ghost tour including the normally-closed Endicott Tunnel</li>
<li>Campfire with s’mores</li>
<li>I did the nature trail on north side of island in near pitch black</li>
<li>A night vision workshop about how&nbsp;nocturnal&nbsp;animals see in the dark (rods and cones in the&nbsp;eye).</li>
<li>The camping of course</li>
<li>In the morning there was a guided nature walk where we learned about birds and mammals on island.</li>
</ul>
<p>And because I like shooting time lapse videos lately, here are two. In the first the sun rises over the river. In the second we ride the tram from Fort Delaware to the ferry dock. If you’re interested in low-res videos of <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S5KXiuWgUJ8&amp;list=UUUi0vurbi6MsqZ9sKpZlybA">bridge crossings</a>, <a href="http://instagram.com/p/td8VQmLN8d/?modal=true">spooky night wanderings</a>, or <a href="http://instagram.com/p/td8q4grN89/?modal=true">ghost sightings</a> then follow the links. There’s also a <a href="https://www.flickr.com/photos/martin_kelley/sets/72157648230944876/">more complete Flickr set of the trip</a>.</p>
<p><iframe loading="lazy" class="youtube-player" width="640" height="360" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/lbsWqvcBPvo?version=3&amp;rel=1&amp;showsearch=0&amp;showinfo=1&amp;iv_load_policy=1&amp;fs=1&amp;hl=en-US&amp;autohide=2&amp;wmode=transparent" allowfullscreen="true" style="border:0;" sandbox="allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox"></iframe></p>
<p><iframe loading="lazy" class="youtube-player" width="640" height="360" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/ClCInqEzqr4?version=3&amp;rel=1&amp;showsearch=0&amp;showinfo=1&amp;iv_load_policy=1&amp;fs=1&amp;hl=en-US&amp;autohide=2&amp;wmode=transparent" allowfullscreen="true" style="border:0;" sandbox="allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox"></iframe></p>
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">38377</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>I’m officially a jaded commuter: second day in a row I looked up to realize I…</title>
		<link>https://www.quakerranter.org/im-officially-a-jaded-commuter-second-day-in-a-row-i-looked-up-to-realize-i/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Kelley]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Jul 2011 21:09:56 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[bridge]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[I’m officially a jaded commuter: second day in a row I looked up to realize I hadn’t noticed Delaware River bridge crossing. Google+: View post on Google+]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I’m officially a jaded commuter: second day in a row I looked up to realize I hadn’t noticed Delaware River bridge crossing.</p>
<p style="clear:both;"> <strong>Google+:</strong> <a href="https://plus.google.com/118137693598946900921/posts/A1QQwrqDKAh" target="_new">View post on Google+</a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
					
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">11184</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>Google Plus is like a slow motion movie where the band of heros all have to get over…</title>
		<link>https://www.quakerranter.org/google-plus-is-like-a-slow-motion-movie-where-the-band-of-heros-all-have-to-get-over/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Kelley]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Jul 2011 16:17:52 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[band]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Google Plus is like a slow motion movie where the band of heros all have to get over the rickety bridge one by one. We cheer as each makes it without plummeting into the chasm below. Google+: Reshared 9 times Google+: View post on Google+]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Google Plus is like a slow motion movie where the band of heros all have to get over the rickety bridge one by one. We cheer as each makes it without plummeting into the chasm below.</p>
<p style="clear:both;"><strong>Google+:</strong> Reshared <a href="https://plus.google.com/118137693598946900921/posts/BQNpTXgcuLJ" target="_new">9</a> times<br> <strong>Google+:</strong> <a href="https://plus.google.com/118137693598946900921/posts/BQNpTXgcuLJ" target="_new">View post on Google+</a></p>
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">11248</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>Trip to the Blue Hole</title>
		<link>https://www.quakerranter.org/trip_to_the_blue_hole/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Martin Kelley]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Sep 2005 13:49:05 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[South Jersey]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Henry Charlton Beck]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Piney Hollow Road]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.quakerranter.org/?p=37568</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[A few days ago my two-year old Theo and I took a meandering bike trip that brought us to the charmingly-named Piney Hollow Road (alas, not quite as rustic as it sounds). We stopped on the unassuming bridge over the Great Egg Harbor River and I looked for a trail into the woods. We found [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<p>A few days ago my two-year old Theo and I took a meandering bike trip that brought us to the charmingly-named Piney Hollow Road (alas, not quite as rustic as it sounds). We stopped on the unassuming bridge over the Great Egg Harbor River and I looked for a trail into the woods. We found one about a hundred feet north of the river, hiked in another hundred feet and <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/martin_kelley/41458376/">picnicked along the river</a>. When I got back home I started Googling around and discovered that our sand trail was the Blue Anchor Fireline Road and that we were on one of the main paths in to the famed Blue Hole.</p>



<p>The best stories on Winslow’s Blue Hole come from Henry Charlton Beck, whose folk histories of South Jersey are must-haves for any local’s library. He wrote newspaper columns profiling old-timey local characters on the back roads and deep woods of the area and his accounts have been collected in volumes such as <em>Forgotten Towns of South Jersey</em> and <em>Jersey Genesis: The Story of the Mullica River.</em> He wrote about the Blue Hole legends in <em>More Forgotten Towns of South Jersey</em> and one helpful fellow has broken copyright laws to <a href="http://www.angelfire.com/nj/becjosh/beck/beckbook.html">scan in the relevant pages</a>.</p>


<div class="wp-block-image">
<figure class="alignleft size-full"><img data-recalc-dims="1" loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="240" height="180" src="https://i0.wp.com/www.quakerranter.org/wp-content/uploads/2005/09/42843525_e25eb72515_m.jpg?resize=240%2C180&#038;ssl=1" alt class="wp-image-246019"><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Entrance to Blue Anchor Fireline Road from Piney Hollow Rd.</figcaption></figure>
</div>


<p>Today my two-year old and I set out again for the Blue Hole (well, I did: he actually <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/martin_kelley/42843274/">napped half the way there</a>). We started on Piney Hollow Road in Winslow Township. About 100 feet north of the very unassuming <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/martin_kelley/42843560">Great Egg Harbor River bridge</a> is what the maps call the Blue Anchor Fireline Road. The picture on the left show the trailhead from Piney Hollow Road.</p>


<div class="wp-block-image">
<figure class="alignright size-full"><img data-recalc-dims="1" loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="180" height="240" src="https://i0.wp.com/www.quakerranter.org/wp-content/uploads/2005/09/42843265_aa7521ea24_m.jpg?resize=180%2C240&#038;ssl=1" alt class="wp-image-246022"></figure>
</div>


<p>We went into the woods along this sandy road. It curves right, parallels Piney Hollow Road for awhile, then curves left back into the woods. There are weird metal bunker openings marked “confined space entry” in day-glow orange every so often: some water-related thing I suppose (though the conspiracy-minded might beg to differ). About a mile in there’s an intersection with the equally-sandy Inskeep Road (those wanting an alternative path could take Inskeep from Piney Hollow: it’s entry is about a half-mile north of the Great Egg Harbor River bridge).</p>



<p>Make a left onto Inskeep and go left when it forks. Within a quarter mile you’ll see a <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/martin_kelley/42843480/">creek with the remains of a bridge</a>. This is the Great Egg Harbor River. Some of the trip reports I’ve seen end here with the sad report that the washed-out bridge prevented the creek from being forded (“Since the stream was too deep and too fast moving to ford, we were forced to retreat. The Devil’s Hole was only 100 yards away, but it might as well have been 100 miles.”). Bah: it’s three feet deep in September, quit yapping and get your feet wet, okay? Just up the path on the other side is the famed Blue Hole itself.</p>



<p>It’s always fun to retrace Henry Charlton Beck’s footsteps but the Blue Hole itself isn’t all that exciting. Yes, the water is kind of blue, underneath the pond scum. It does look deep and it’s certainly not a normal geological feature. Some have wondered if it’s an asteroid hit, which is as good a theory as any other. Here’s a close-up of the hole in all its blue’ness:</p>



<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img data-recalc-dims="1" loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="500" height="375" src="https://i0.wp.com/www.quakerranter.org/wp-content/uploads/2005/09/42843457_70d9c1682d.jpg?resize=500%2C375&#038;ssl=1" alt class="wp-image-246023" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/www.quakerranter.org/wp-content/uploads/2005/09/42843457_70d9c1682d.jpg?w=500&amp;ssl=1 500w, https://i0.wp.com/www.quakerranter.org/wp-content/uploads/2005/09/42843457_70d9c1682d.jpg?resize=300%2C225&amp;ssl=1 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px"></figure>



<p>No, I didn’t see the Jersey Devil (wasn’t really looking folks) but some sort of giant heron or crane did circle the hole overhead twice when I got there. One theory of the Jersey Devil legend is that it was inspired by sightings of the Sandhill Crane so our companion’s presence was appropriate. I didn’t swim into the hole to test out the Devil leg-pulling reports, bottomless depth or remarkable cold. I’ll leave that to more intrepid souls.</p>



<p><iframe loading="lazy" src="http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF8&amp;hl=en&amp;t=h&amp;om=1&amp;source=embed&amp;msa=0&amp;msid=105311354225261159816.00000111e222f4a8a339b&amp;ll=39.624367,-74.893241&amp;spn=0.011569,0.018239&amp;z=15&amp;output=embed" width="425" height="350" frameborder="0" marginwidth="0" marginheight="0" scrolling="no"></iframe></p>



<p><small>View <a href="http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=UTF8&amp;hl=en&amp;t=h&amp;om=1&amp;source=embed&amp;msa=0&amp;msid=105311354225261159816.00000111e222f4a8a339b&amp;ll=39.624367,-74.893241&amp;spn=0.011569,0.018239&amp;z=15">Blue Hole, Winslow NJ</a> in a larger map</small></p>



<p></p>
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